Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, anyhow?) is independent from winning or losing on some other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an unbiased event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Beat the possibility of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets in a row (if it is precisely what your problem is asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately ten.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 coming from 10 million, which comes down to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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